Nj\u00eb sistem ky\u00e7 i rrymave t\u00eb Oqeanit Atlantik, i njohur si Qarkullimi i P\u00ebrmbysjes Meridionale t\u00eb Atlantikut (AMOC), mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb shum\u00eb m\u00eb af\u00ebr kolapsit sesa kan\u00eb sugjeruar vler\u00ebsimet e m\u00ebparshme, sipas dy studimeve t\u00eb reja shkencore q\u00eb po ngren\u00eb shqet\u00ebsim t\u00eb madh n\u00eb komunitetin klimatik.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
AMOC \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb thelb\u00ebsore e sistemit klimatik global q\u00eb transporton uj\u00ebrat e ngrohta nga tropik\u00ebt drejt Atlantikut verior, ku ato ftohen dhe fundosen, duke krijuar nj\u00eb \u201crrip transportues\u201d oqeanik q\u00eb ndihmon n\u00eb rregullimin e klim\u00ebs s\u00eb Tok\u00ebs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Sipas studiuesve, kjo rrym\u00eb tashm\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb gjendjen e saj m\u00eb t\u00eb dob\u00ebt n\u00eb rreth 1,600 vitet e fundit si pasoj\u00eb e ngrohjes globale. Shkenc\u00ebtar\u00ebt kan\u00eb v\u00ebrejtur edhe shenja t\u00eb hershme t\u00eb nj\u00eb pike kthese, duke ngritur frik\u00ebn se sistemi mund t\u00eb hyj\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb faz\u00eb t\u00eb pakthyeshme dob\u00ebsimi apo edhe kolapsi gjat\u00eb k\u00ebtij shekulli.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Modelet klimatike kan\u00eb dh\u00ebn\u00eb m\u00eb par\u00eb rezultate shum\u00eb t\u00eb ndryshme, nga nj\u00eb ngadal\u00ebsim i vog\u00ebl deri n\u00eb rreth 70% deri n\u00eb vitin 2100, n\u00eb var\u00ebsi t\u00eb skenar\u00ebve t\u00eb emetimeve. Por k\u00ebrkimet e reja q\u00eb kombinojn\u00eb v\u00ebzhgimet reale t\u00eb oqeanit me modelet kompjuterike sugjerojn\u00eb nj\u00eb pamje m\u00eb shqet\u00ebsuese dhe m\u00eb t\u00eb ngushtuar t\u00eb pasiguris\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Analizat paraprake vler\u00ebsonin nj\u00eb afat kohor p\u00ebr r\u00ebnien midis 2025 dhe 2095, me nj\u00eb vler\u00ebsim qendror prej 2050, n\u00ebse emetimet globale t\u00eb karbonit nuk reduktohen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Nj\u00eb studim i publikuar n\u00eb Science Advances vler\u00ebson se AMOC mund t\u00eb dob\u00ebsohet me rreth 42% deri n\u00eb 58% deri n\u00eb vitin 2100, n\u00eb nj\u00eb skenar mesatar t\u00eb emetimeve, nj\u00eb nivel q\u00eb shkenc\u00ebtar\u00ebt e konsiderojn\u00eb shum\u00eb af\u00ebr nj\u00eb pike kthese. Nj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr analiz\u00eb sugjeron nj\u00eb ngadal\u00ebsim rreth 51% deri n\u00eb fund t\u00eb shekullit, duke e p\u00ebrforcuar iden\u00eb se modelet m\u00eb \u201cpesimiste\u201d mund t\u00eb jen\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb af\u00ebrta me realitetin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u201cNe jemi m\u00eb af\u00ebr nj\u00eb gjendjeje kritike q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb shqet\u00ebsuese,\u201d tha klimatologu Valentin Portmann, nj\u00eb nga autor\u00ebt kryesor\u00eb t\u00eb studimeve, duke theksuar se ngadal\u00ebsimi i AMOC \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb i madh se sa mesatarja e parashikuar nga modelet klimatike.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Shkenc\u00ebtar\u00ebt paralajm\u00ebrojn\u00eb se nj\u00eb kolaps i mundsh\u00ebm i k\u00ebtij sistemi do t\u00eb kishte pasoja t\u00eb m\u00ebdha globale. N\u00eb Evrop\u00eb mund t\u00eb sjell\u00eb dimra shum\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb ashp\u00ebr dhe ndryshime ekstreme t\u00eb klim\u00ebs, n\u00eb Afrik\u00eb dhe Azin\u00eb Jugore that\u00ebsira t\u00eb r\u00ebnda q\u00eb do t\u00eb preknin furnizimin me ushqim, nd\u00ebrsa n\u00eb Amerik\u00ebn e Veriut rritje t\u00eb nivelit t\u00eb detit dhe ndryshime t\u00eb m\u00ebdha t\u00eb qarkullimit atmosferik.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Sipas ekspert\u00ebve, ngrohja e Arktikut po e ngadal\u00ebson procesin: uji i oqeanit ftohet m\u00eb pak, b\u00ebhet m\u00eb pak i dendur dhe fundoset m\u00eb ngadal\u00eb. Kjo krijon nj\u00eb efekt zinxhir q\u00eb rrit edhe m\u00eb shum\u00eb ngadal\u00ebsimin e rrym\u00ebs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u201cKy \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb rezultat shum\u00eb shqet\u00ebsues. Modelet q\u00eb tregojn\u00eb dob\u00ebsim t\u00eb fort\u00eb t\u00eb AMOC deri n\u00eb vitin 2100 rezultojn\u00eb t\u00eb jen\u00eb m\u00eb realistet,\u201d tha Stefan Rahmstorf nga Instituti Potsdam p\u00ebr K\u00ebrkime t\u00eb Ndikimit Klimatik, i cili prej dekadash studion k\u00ebt\u00eb sistem.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ai shtoi se ekziston rreziku q\u00eb pika e kthes\u00ebs s\u00eb pakthyeshme mund t\u00eb arrihet brenda k\u00ebtij shekulli, di\u00e7ka q\u00eb shkenc\u00ebtar\u00ebt e konsiderojn\u00eb jasht\u00ebzakonisht serioze p\u00ebr stabilitetin klimatik t\u00eb planetit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Studiues t\u00eb tjer\u00eb theksojn\u00eb se, megjith\u00ebse mbetet ende debat shkencor mbi intensitetin e sakt\u00eb t\u00eb dob\u00ebsimit, fakti q\u00eb AMOC po ndryshon \u00ebsht\u00eb i padiskutuesh\u00ebm. Edhe nj\u00eb dob\u00ebsim i konsideruesh\u00ebm mund t\u00eb sjell\u00eb ndikime t\u00eb m\u00ebdha n\u00eb dekadat e ardhshme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Shkenc\u00ebtar\u00ebt theksojn\u00eb se AMOC \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb sistem shum\u00eb kompleks dhe i ndjesh\u00ebm ndaj ndryshimeve t\u00eb vogla n\u00eb krip\u00ebsin\u00eb dhe dend\u00ebsin\u00eb e uj\u00ebrave t\u00eb Atlantikut, prandaj parashikimet e sakta mbeten sfiduese.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Megjithat\u00eb, konsensusi shkencor po forcohet: rryma kryesore e Atlantikut po dob\u00ebsohet dhe rreziku i nj\u00eb kolapsi n\u00eb t\u00eb ardhmen nuk mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrjashtohet m\u00eb si nj\u00eb skenar ekstrem.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
N\u00ebse kjo ndodh, ndikimet do t\u00eb ndiheshin n\u00eb shkall\u00eb globale, duke ndryshuar rr\u00ebnj\u00ebsisht klim\u00ebn n\u00eb hemisfer\u00ebn veriore dhe m\u00eb gjer\u00eb. \/MeteoKosova<\/strong>\/<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Nj\u00eb sistem ky\u00e7 i rrymave t\u00eb Oqeanit Atlantik, i njohur si Qarkullimi i P\u00ebrmbysjes Meridionale t\u00eb Atlantikut (AMOC), mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb shum\u00eb m\u00eb af\u00ebr kolapsit sesa kan\u00eb sugjeruar vler\u00ebsimet e m\u00ebparshme, sipas dy studimeve t\u00eb reja shkencore q\u00eb po ngren\u00eb shqet\u00ebsim t\u00eb madh n\u00eb komunitetin klimatik. AMOC \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb thelb\u00ebsore e sistemit klimatik global …<\/p>","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":10004,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"wds_primary_category":24,"footnotes":""},"categories":[24,29],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9985","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ballina","category-kuriozitete"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/difference-between-a-hurricane-and-tornado-Hurricane-Damage-1200x480-1.webp","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9985","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9985"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9985\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10020,"href":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9985\/revisions\/10020"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10004"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9985"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9985"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9985"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}