{"id":8730,"date":"2025-06-01T15:14:40","date_gmt":"2025-06-01T13:14:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/?p=8730"},"modified":"2025-07-22T21:42:10","modified_gmt":"2025-07-22T19:42:10","slug":"vera-2025-ne-ballkan-me-pak-e-nxehte-se-zakonisht-me-rreziqe-shiu-dhe-permbytjesh","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/vera-2025-ne-ballkan-me-pak-e-nxehte-se-zakonisht-me-rreziqe-shiu-dhe-permbytjesh\/","title":{"rendered":"Vera 2025 n\u00eb Ballkan: M\u00eb pak e nxeht\u00eb se zakonisht, me rreziqe shiu dhe p\u00ebrmbytjesh"},"content":{"rendered":"

VERA 2025 \u2013 P\u00cbRMBLEDHJE<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u00eb p\u00ebrgjith\u00ebsi, duket se po shkojm\u00eb drejt nj\u00eb vere ku ajri i ngroht\u00eb do t\u00eb shtrihet mjaftuesh\u00ebm n\u00eb drejtim t\u00eb veriut. N\u00eb Evrop\u00ebn Veriore, megjithat\u00eb, fillimi mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb paksa i ngadalsh\u00ebm, dhe p\u00ebrmbledhja i referohet pamjes s\u00eb p\u00ebrgjithshme t\u00eb periudh\u00ebs qershor\u2013gusht. Prandaj, kjo nuk mund t\u00eb shihet si nj\u00eb parashikim p\u00ebr pushimet. \u00cbsht\u00eb shum\u00eb e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb, n\u00eb mos e pamundur, t\u00eb p\u00ebrcaktohet sakt\u00ebsisht si do t\u00eb jet\u00eb secili muaj ve\u00e7 e ve\u00e7.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Skandinavia dhe Finlanda<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Duket se pjesa jugore dhe qendrore e Skandinavis\u00eb dhe pjesa jugore e Finland\u00ebs kan\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb mund\u00ebsi p\u00ebr nj\u00eb ver\u00eb t\u00eb ngroht\u00eb gjat\u00eb periudh\u00ebs qershor-gusht.
Pak m\u00eb e pasigurt n\u00eb veri t\u00eb Suedis\u00eb dhe Finland\u00ebs, por edhe aty potencialisht ngroht\u00eb.
Verat e ngrohta p\u00ebrfshijn\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb presion t\u00eb lart\u00eb dhe shum\u00eb dit\u00eb vere t\u00eb nxehta, q\u00eb do t\u00eb thot\u00eb periudha t\u00eb gjata me aj\u00ebr t\u00eb ngroht\u00eb dhe mot t\u00eb that\u00eb.
Mesatarisht presioni i lart\u00eb mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb pak n\u00eb lindje, q\u00eb rrit mund\u00ebsin\u00eb p\u00ebr aj\u00ebr t\u00eb lag\u00ebsht nga jugu ose juglindja me shi dhe bubullima.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pasiguria m\u00eb e madhe n\u00eb pjes\u00ebn jugore dhe qendrore t\u00eb rajonit ka t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb me sasin\u00eb e reshjeve n\u00eb periudh\u00eb afatgjat\u00eb. N\u00ebse presioni i lart\u00eb nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb mjaftuesh\u00ebm bllokues dhe n\u00ebse mbizot\u00ebrojn\u00eb lloj presionesh t\u00eb larta m\u00eb t\u00eb dob\u00ebta (t\u00eb ashtuquajtura NAO pozitive verore) nga Ishujt Britanik\u00eb, at\u00ebher\u00eb mund t\u00eb kemi nj\u00eb ver\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb that\u00eb. Kjo rrit gjasat p\u00ebr munges\u00eb reshjesh n\u00eb vend t\u00eb tepric\u00ebs. N\u00ebse kjo ndodh, rritet edhe mund\u00ebsia q\u00eb pjesa veriore e rajonit t\u00eb ket\u00eb mot m\u00eb t\u00eb paq\u00ebndruesh\u00ebm.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Evropa Veriper\u00ebndimore (p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb Ishujt Britanik\u00eb)<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

N\u00eb p\u00ebrgjith\u00ebsi, situata \u00ebsht\u00eb shum\u00eb e pasigurt, pasi \u00ebsht\u00eb \u201cose nj\u00ebra ose tjetra\u201d. Rajoni ka potencialin t\u00eb jet\u00eb si i paq\u00ebndruesh\u00ebm, ashtu edhe mjaftuesh\u00ebm i q\u00ebndruesh\u00ebm, n\u00eb var\u00ebsi t\u00eb detajeve t\u00eb zhvillimeve t\u00eb m\u00ebdha atmosferike me kalimin e koh\u00ebs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pjesa tjet\u00ebr e Evrop\u00ebs Per\u00ebndimore, Italia dhe Ballkani (p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb Kosov\u00ebn)<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Kjo zon\u00eb duket t\u00eb jet\u00eb kryesisht n\u00ebn ndikimin e presioneve t\u00eb ul\u00ebta dhe m\u00eb pak e nxeht\u00eb se sa zakonisht p\u00ebr stin\u00ebn. Megjithat\u00eb, periudha t\u00eb ngrohta dhe t\u00eb thata pritet t\u00eb ndodhin her\u00eb pas here, si zakonisht, por n\u00eb nj\u00eb p\u00ebrqindje m\u00eb t\u00eb vog\u00ebl se sa normalisht. Her\u00eb pas here, mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb goxha fresk\u00ebt n\u00eb disa pjes\u00eb t\u00eb rajonit dhe priten zona me reshje dhe rrebeshe. Ekziston rreziku p\u00ebr p\u00ebrmbytje n\u00ebse reshjet vazhdojn\u00eb p\u00ebr nj\u00eb koh\u00eb t\u00eb gjat\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Evropa Qendrore dhe Lindore, si dhe Rusia Per\u00ebndimore<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

N\u00eb disa pjes\u00eb mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb v\u00ebrtet\u00eb ngroht\u00eb, por gjithashtu do t\u00eb ket\u00eb edhe rrebeshe shiu dhe vet\u00ebtima. Mund t\u00eb ket\u00eb rrezik p\u00ebr p\u00ebrmbytje n\u00ebse bie shum\u00eb shi p\u00ebr nj\u00eb koh\u00eb t\u00eb gjat\u00eb. M\u00eb n\u00eb lindje, moti duket t\u00eb jet\u00eb kryesisht i that\u00eb dhe i ngroht\u00eb p\u00ebr periudh\u00ebn n\u00eb t\u00ebr\u00ebsi. Kjo vlen edhe p\u00ebr Rusin\u00eb per\u00ebndimore.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lindja e Mesdheut dhe Lindja e Mesme<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Nga pik\u00ebpamja klimatologjike, moti \u00ebsht\u00eb i ngroht\u00eb dhe i that\u00eb, dhe n\u00eb Lindjen e Mesme reshjet gjat\u00eb ver\u00ebs jan\u00eb shum\u00eb t\u00eb kufizuara. Potencialisht mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb edhe m\u00eb i nxeht\u00eb se zakonisht n\u00eb at\u00eb rajon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

P\u00cbRMBLEDHJE N\u00cb SHKALL\u00cb T\u00cb GJER\u00cb<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Analiza e m\u00ebsip\u00ebrme bazohet n\u00eb modelin e pritur t\u00eb rrjedh\u00ebs s\u00eb ajrit n\u00eb shkall\u00eb t\u00eb gjer\u00eb: presion i lart\u00eb mbi Evrop\u00ebn Verilindore, me dominim t\u00eb presioneve t\u00eb ul\u00ebta mbi Atlantikun e Veriut, si dhe Evrop\u00ebn Jugper\u00ebndimore dhe pjes\u00ebn qendrore t\u00eb Mesdheut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

PASIGURI N\u00cb P\u00cbRMBLEDHJEN E GJER\u00cb<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Dallime t\u00eb mundshme<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Nj\u00eb presion i ul\u00ebt m\u00eb i fort\u00eb mbi Atlantikun e Veriut mund t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb q\u00eb presioni i lart\u00eb t\u00eb zbutet m\u00eb shum\u00eb. Kjo pasiguri ndikon kryesisht n\u00eb Skandinavin\u00eb veriore dhe Finland\u00ebn veriore, t\u00eb cilat do t\u00eb kishin m\u00eb shum\u00eb mot t\u00eb paq\u00ebndruesh\u00ebm n\u00ebse ndodh k\u00ebshtu, nd\u00ebrsa skenari i ngroht\u00eb do t\u00eb mbetej i mundur m\u00eb n\u00eb jug, por me munges\u00eb reshjesh n\u00eb vend t\u00eb tepric\u00ebs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Po ashtu \u00ebsht\u00eb e mundur q\u00eb t\u00eb kemi m\u00eb shum\u00eb presion t\u00eb lart\u00eb mbi Evrop\u00ebn Veriper\u00ebndimore n\u00ebse ndodh ajo q\u00eb p\u00ebrmend\u00ebm m\u00eb lart, gj\u00eb q\u00eb do t\u00eb sillte nj\u00eb ver\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb ngroht\u00eb dhe t\u00eb that\u00eb atje.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn koh\u00eb, n\u00ebse presioni i ul\u00ebt mbi Evrop\u00ebn Jugper\u00ebndimore forcohet, kjo do t\u00eb sillte mot t\u00eb paq\u00ebndruesh\u00ebm n\u00eb Evrop\u00ebn Veriper\u00ebndimore, dhe gjithashtu do t\u00eb ndikonte n\u00eb rrjedh\u00ebn e ajrit t\u00eb ngroht\u00eb dhe t\u00eb lag\u00ebsht drejt veriut, q\u00eb do t\u00eb b\u00ebhej m\u00eb e fort\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rast\u00ebsia n\u00eb kaos<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Atmosfera \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb sistem kaotik, dhe pik\u00ebrisht p\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb arsye \u00ebsht\u00eb shum\u00eb e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb t\u00eb b\u00ebhen parashikime p\u00ebr periudha t\u00eb gjata. Ekziston nj\u00eb element rast\u00ebsie n\u00eb mot q\u00eb nuk mund ta parashikojm\u00eb gjithmon\u00eb. Kjo mund t\u00eb ndodh\u00eb n\u00eb shkall\u00eb t\u00eb madhe ose t\u00eb vog\u00ebl. Megjithat\u00eb, ekzistojn\u00eb nd\u00ebrveprime mes sistemeve t\u00eb ndryshme t\u00eb motit q\u00eb i njohim, dhe gjithashtu lidhje fizike q\u00eb \u00e7ojn\u00eb drejt zhvillimeve t\u00eb caktuara. Me ndihm\u00ebn e modeleve t\u00eb motit, t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave historike me kushte t\u00eb ngjashme dhe hulumtimit shkencor, mund t\u00eb nxirren p\u00ebrfundime se cilat skenar\u00eb jan\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb mundsh\u00ebm dhe pse. Por gjat\u00eb rrug\u00ebs, gjithmon\u00eb ekziston rreziku q\u00eb t\u00eb ndodh\u00eb di\u00e7ka rast\u00ebsore q\u00eb ndikon shum\u00eb dhe e ndryshon rrjedh\u00ebn e parashikuar. \/MeteoKosova<\/strong>\/<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

VERA 2025 \u2013 P\u00cbRMBLEDHJE N\u00eb p\u00ebrgjith\u00ebsi, duket se po shkojm\u00eb drejt nj\u00eb vere ku ajri i ngroht\u00eb do t\u00eb shtrihet mjaftuesh\u00ebm n\u00eb drejtim t\u00eb veriut. N\u00eb Evrop\u00ebn Veriore, megjithat\u00eb, fillimi mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb paksa i ngadalsh\u00ebm, dhe p\u00ebrmbledhja i referohet pamjes s\u00eb p\u00ebrgjithshme t\u00eb periudh\u00ebs qershor\u2013gusht. Prandaj, kjo nuk mund t\u00eb shihet si nj\u00eb parashikim …<\/p>","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":8743,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"wds_primary_category":24,"footnotes":""},"categories":[24,28,26,27],"tags":[230,229],"class_list":["post-8730","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ballina","category-bote","category-kosove","category-rajon","tag-parashikimi-stinor","tag-vera-2025"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/vera-2025.png","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8730","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8730"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8730\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8749,"href":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8730\/revisions\/8749"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8743"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8730"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8730"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8730"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}