{"id":10275,"date":"2026-06-16T12:44:22","date_gmt":"2026-06-16T10:44:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/?p=10275"},"modified":"2026-06-16T12:50:20","modified_gmt":"2026-06-16T10:50:20","slug":"el-nino-konfirmohet-zyrtarisht-paralajmerohet-nje-nga-fenomenet-me-te-forta-ne-150-vitet-e-fundit-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/el-nino-konfirmohet-zyrtarisht-paralajmerohet-nje-nga-fenomenet-me-te-forta-ne-150-vitet-e-fundit-2\/","title":{"rendered":"El Ni\u00f1o konfirmohet zyrtarisht, paralajm\u00ebrohet nj\u00eb nga fenomenet m\u00eb t\u00eb forta n\u00eb 150 vitet e fundit"},"content":{"rendered":"

El<\/strong> Ni\u00f1o<\/strong> ka filluar zyrtarisht m\u00eb 11qershor 2026 dhe parashikohet t\u00eb intensifikohet n\u00eb nj\u00eb El<\/strong> Ni\u00f1o<\/strong> shum\u00eb t\u00eb fort\u00eb ose \u201cSuper El Ni\u00f1o<\/strong>\u201d, me ndryshime t\u00eb m\u00ebdha n\u00eb modelet globale t\u00eb motit dhe nj\u00eb klim\u00eb edhe m\u00eb t\u00eb nxeht\u00eb, sipas nj\u00eb raporti t\u00eb ri t\u00eb publikuar nga Administrata Komb\u00ebtare Oqeanike dhe Atmosferike (NOAA)<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cEl<\/strong> Ni\u00f1o<\/strong>\u201d (q\u00eb n\u00eb spanjisht do t\u00eb thot\u00eb \u201cdjali\u201d) \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb fenomen klimatik q\u00eb ndodh \u00e7do 2 deri n\u00eb 7 vjet<\/strong> dhe zgjat rreth 9 deri n\u00eb 12 muaj<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Normalisht, gjat\u00eb kushteve \u201cENSO-neutral<\/strong>\u201d (kur nuk ka El<\/strong> Ni\u00f1o<\/strong> apo La Ni\u00f1a<\/strong>), er\u00ebrat tregtare l\u00ebvizin nga lindja n\u00eb per\u00ebndim p\u00ebrgjat\u00eb ekuatorit, duke shtyr\u00eb ujin e ngroht\u00eb sip\u00ebrfaq\u00ebsor nga Amerika e Jugut drejt Azis\u00eb. Kur ky uj\u00eb largohet, uji i ftoht\u00eb nga thell\u00ebsit\u00eb ngrihet n\u00eb sip\u00ebrfaqe, nj\u00eb proces i quajtur \u201cupwelling<\/strong>\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La Ni\u00f1a<\/strong> \u00ebsht\u00eb faza e kund\u00ebrt e El<\/strong> Ni\u00f1o<\/strong>. Gjat\u00eb saj, er\u00ebrat tregtare jan\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb forta se zakonisht, duke shtyr\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb uj\u00eb t\u00eb ngroht\u00eb drejt Azis\u00eb dhe duke lejuar ngritje m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe t\u00eb ujit t\u00eb ftoht\u00eb n\u00eb Paq\u00ebsorin lindor. Kjo zakonisht sjell temperatura m\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebta globale dhe ndryshime t\u00eb kund\u00ebrta t\u00eb motit krahasuar me El<\/strong> Ni\u00f1o<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Qendra e Parashikimit Klimatik e NOAA-s<\/strong> i jep k\u00ebtij El<\/strong> Ni\u00f1o<\/strong> nj\u00eb mund\u00ebsi prej 63%<\/strong> p\u00ebr t\u2019u b\u00ebr\u00eb nj\u00eb ngjarje \u201cshum\u00eb e fort\u00eb\u201d (Super El Ni\u00f1o<\/strong>) dhe nj\u00eb nga ngjarjet m\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdha El<\/strong> Ni\u00f1o<\/strong> n\u00eb regjistrimet historike q\u00eb datojn\u00eb q\u00eb nga viti 1950<\/strong>. NOAA i jep gjithashtu 100%<\/strong> gjasa q\u00eb El<\/strong> Ni\u00f1o<\/strong> t\u00eb vazhdoj\u00eb gjat\u00eb vjesht\u00ebs dhe gjasa jasht\u00ebzakonisht t\u00eb larta q\u00eb t\u00eb vazhdoj\u00eb edhe gjat\u00eb dimrit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Megjithat\u00eb, disa modele sezonale sugjerojn\u00eb nj\u00eb skenar edhe m\u00eb ekstrem. Temperaturat n\u00eb rajonin ky\u00e7 t\u00eb Paq\u00ebsorit tropikal<\/strong> mund t\u00eb arrijn\u00eb deri n\u00eb +3\u00b0C<\/strong> mbi normalen, nd\u00ebrsa disa shkenc\u00ebtar\u00eb vler\u00ebsojn\u00eb se ky fenomen mund t\u00eb rivalizoj\u00eb ngjarjet m\u00eb t\u00eb fuqishme t\u00eb njohura n\u00eb rreth 150 vitet e fundit<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Gjat\u00eb nj\u00eb El<\/strong> Ni\u00f1o<\/strong>, k\u00ebto er\u00ebra dob\u00ebsohen ose ndryshojn\u00eb drejtim, duke b\u00ebr\u00eb q\u00eb uji i ngroht\u00eb t\u00eb shp\u00ebrndahet m\u00eb n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb barabart\u00eb n\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb Paq\u00ebsorin<\/strong>. Kjo ndikon n\u00eb reshje, er\u00ebra dhe temperaturat globale.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

P\u00ebr krahasim, El<\/strong> Ni\u00f1o<\/strong> i viteve 1877\u201378<\/strong>, i konsideruar si nj\u00eb nga m\u00eb t\u00eb fort\u00ebt n\u00eb histori, shkaktoi that\u00ebsira ekstreme dhe uri n\u00eb shum\u00eb rajone, duke kontribuar n\u00eb vdekjen e rreth 4%<\/strong> t\u00eb popullsis\u00eb globale t\u00eb asaj kohe, af\u00ebrsisht 50 milion\u00eb njer\u00ebz<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sipas ekspert\u00ebve, ndryshimet klimatike mund ta p\u00ebrforcojn\u00eb edhe m\u00eb tej ndikimin e El<\/strong> Ni\u00f1o-s<\/strong>, duke rritur rrezikun p\u00ebr val\u00eb t\u00eb forta t\u00eb t\u00eb nxehtit, that\u00ebsira, reshje ekstreme dhe ngjarje t\u00eb tjera t\u00eb motit n\u00eb mbar\u00eb bot\u00ebn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gjat\u00eb muajve t\u00eb fundit, sasi t\u00eb m\u00ebdha uji jasht\u00ebzakonisht t\u00eb ngroht\u00eb jan\u00eb zhvendosur nga Paq\u00ebsori per\u00ebndimor<\/strong> drejt Paq\u00ebsorit tropikal lindor<\/strong>, t\u00eb shtyra nga ndryshimet n\u00eb er\u00ebra. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ky uj\u00eb jasht\u00ebzakonisht i ngroht\u00eb ka udh\u00ebtuar rreth 180 deri n\u00eb 300 metra<\/strong> n\u00ebn sip\u00ebrfaqen e oqeanit dhe po fillon t\u00eb ngrihet drejt sip\u00ebrfaqes s\u00eb detit mij\u00ebra kilometra m\u00eb n\u00eb lindje, m\u00eb af\u00ebr Amerik\u00ebs s\u00eb Jugut. Dinamika t\u00eb ngjashme jan\u00eb v\u00ebrejtur gjat\u00eb Super El Ni\u00f1o-ve<\/strong> t\u00eb m\u00ebparshme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngjarjet Super El Ni\u00f1o<\/strong> jan\u00eb relativisht t\u00eb rralla, me m\u00eb t\u00eb fundit q\u00eb kan\u00eb ndodhur n\u00eb vitet 2015\u201316<\/strong>, 1997\u201398<\/strong> dhe 1982\u201383<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

P\u00ebr shkak se El<\/strong> Ni\u00f1o<\/strong> p\u00ebrfshin transferimin e nj\u00eb sasie t\u00eb madhe energjie termike nga oqeani n\u00eb atmosfer\u00eb, ky fenomen ka gjithashtu pasoja p\u00ebr klim\u00ebn globale. Ai rrit temperaturat mesatare globale t\u00eb sip\u00ebrfaqes mbi trendin e ngrohjes s\u00eb shkaktuar nga njeriu, duke rritur ndjesh\u00ebm gjasat q\u00eb viti 2027<\/strong> t\u00eb b\u00ebhet viti m\u00eb i nxeht\u00eb i regjistruar ndonj\u00ebher\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Si mund t\u00eb ndikoj\u00eb El Ni\u00f1o n\u00eb bot\u00eb?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

El<\/strong> Ni\u00f1o<\/strong> rrit gjasat p\u00ebr ekstreme t\u00eb motit dhe klim\u00ebs, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb val\u00ebt e t\u00eb nxehtit, p\u00ebrmbytjet dhe that\u00ebsirat, var\u00ebsisht nga rajoni.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sipas hartave klimatike t\u00eb ndikimeve tipike t\u00eb El<\/strong> Ni\u00f1o-s<\/strong>, pjes\u00eb t\u00eb Amerik\u00ebs s\u00eb Jugut<\/strong>, Afrik\u00ebs Lindore<\/strong> dhe jugut t\u00eb Shteteve t\u00eb Bashkuara<\/strong> zakonisht p\u00ebrjetojn\u00eb reshje mbi normalen dhe rrezik m\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb p\u00ebr p\u00ebrmbytje. N\u00eb an\u00ebn tjet\u00ebr, Australia<\/strong>, Indonezia<\/strong>, India<\/strong>, pjes\u00eb t\u00eb Azis\u00eb Juglindore<\/strong> dhe Afrik\u00ebs Jugore<\/strong> shpesh p\u00ebrballen me reshje n\u00ebn normalen, temperatura m\u00eb t\u00eb larta dhe rrezik t\u00eb shtuar p\u00ebr that\u00ebsira.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u00eb ver\u00eb, reshjet monsonike<\/strong> reduktohen n\u00eb Indi<\/strong> dhe Azin\u00eb Juglindore<\/strong>, gj\u00eb q\u00eb mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsoj\u00eb ekstremet e nxeht\u00ebsis\u00eb. Australia<\/strong> dhe Indonezia<\/strong> jan\u00eb ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht t\u00eb prekura nga that\u00ebsirat, val\u00ebt e t\u00eb nxehtit dhe zjarret. Karaibet<\/strong> gjithashtu shpesh p\u00ebrjetojn\u00eb kushte m\u00eb t\u00eb thata gjat\u00eb El<\/strong> Ni\u00f1o-s<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb, disa pjes\u00eb t\u00eb Amerik\u00ebs Jugore<\/strong>, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht Peruja<\/strong>, jan\u00eb t\u00eb prira ndaj reshjeve t\u00eb dendura dhe p\u00ebrmbytjeve p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb af\u00ebrsis\u00eb me uj\u00ebrat jasht\u00ebzakonisht t\u00eb ngrohta t\u00eb Paq\u00ebsorit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sipas modeleve klimatike dhe ngjarjeve t\u00eb kaluara, disa rajone mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrballen me reshje dhe p\u00ebrmbytje m\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdha se normalja, nd\u00ebrsa t\u00eb tjera me that\u00ebsira t\u00eb zgjatura dhe val\u00eb intensive t\u00eb nxehtit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u00eb Amerik\u00ebn e Jugut<\/strong>, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht p\u00ebrgjat\u00eb bregdetit t\u00eb Paq\u00ebsorit, priten reshje t\u00eb dendura dhe rrezik m\u00eb i lart\u00eb p\u00ebr p\u00ebrmbytje. N\u00eb t\u00eb kund\u00ebrt, pjes\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdha t\u00eb Brazilit verior<\/strong> dhe rajone t\u00eb tjera tropikale mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrballen me munges\u00eb reshjesh dhe that\u00ebsira.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u00eb Amerik\u00ebn e Veriut<\/strong>, jugu i Shteteve t\u00eb Bashkuara<\/strong> zakonisht p\u00ebrjeton kushte m\u00eb t\u00eb lag\u00ebshta dhe reshje m\u00eb t\u00eb shumta, nd\u00ebrsa pjes\u00eb t\u00eb veriut dhe veriper\u00ebndimit mund t\u00eb ken\u00eb kushte m\u00eb t\u00eb thata.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Europa Mesdhetare<\/strong>, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb rajone pran\u00eb Italis\u00eb<\/strong>, Ballkanit<\/strong> dhe Turqis\u00eb<\/strong>, shpesh p\u00ebrjeton periudha m\u00eb t\u00eb lag\u00ebshta gjat\u00eb El<\/strong> Ni\u00f1o<\/strong>, nd\u00ebrsa ndikimet n\u00eb pjes\u00ebt veriore t\u00eb kontinentit jan\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb kufizuara.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u00eb Azi<\/strong>, nj\u00eb nga ndikimet m\u00eb t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme \u00ebsht\u00eb rreziku i that\u00ebsirave n\u00eb Indi<\/strong>, Indonezi<\/strong> dhe pjes\u00eb t\u00eb Azis\u00eb Juglindore<\/strong>. Kjo mund t\u00eb ndikoj\u00eb drejtp\u00ebrdrejt n\u00eb prodhimin bujq\u00ebsor dhe furnizimin me ushqim p\u00ebr qindra miliona njer\u00ebz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Australia<\/strong> \u00ebsht\u00eb nd\u00ebr rajonet m\u00eb t\u00eb prekura nga El<\/strong> Ni\u00f1o<\/strong>. Shumica e vendit p\u00ebrballet me reshje n\u00ebn normalen, temperatura m\u00eb t\u00eb larta dhe rrezik t\u00eb shtuar p\u00ebr zjarre dhe that\u00ebsira.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u00eb Afrik\u00eb<\/strong>, ndikimet ndryshojn\u00eb sipas rajonit. Disa pjes\u00eb t\u00eb Afrik\u00ebs Lindore<\/strong> mund t\u00eb ken\u00eb reshje m\u00eb t\u00eb shumta, nd\u00ebrsa Afrika Jugore<\/strong> shpesh p\u00ebrballet me periudha m\u00eb t\u00eb thata dhe m\u00eb t\u00eb nxehta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
El Nino dhe reshjet<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Uraganet dhe stuhit\u00eb<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nd\u00ebrsa El<\/strong> Ni\u00f1o<\/strong> mund ta fuqizoj\u00eb sezonin e uraganeve n\u00eb Paq\u00ebsorin qendror dhe lindor<\/strong>, ai zakonisht kufizon numrin e uraganeve n\u00eb Atlantik<\/strong>. El<\/strong> Ni\u00f1o-t<\/strong> m\u00eb t\u00eb fort\u00eb kan\u00eb tendenc\u00eb t\u2019i b\u00ebjn\u00eb k\u00ebto ndikime m\u00eb t\u00eb theksuara.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Oqeanet dhe ekosistemet<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngjarjet El<\/strong> Ni\u00f1o<\/strong> mund t\u00eb \u00e7ojn\u00eb n\u00eb val\u00eb t\u00eb gjera t\u00eb nxeht\u00ebsis\u00eb detare dhe zbardhje t\u00eb koraleve, p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb ndjeshm\u00ebris\u00eb s\u00eb tyre ndaj temperaturave m\u00eb t\u00eb larta t\u00eb oqeanit. Vet\u00eb val\u00ebt e nxeht\u00ebsis\u00eb detare mund t\u00eb ndikojn\u00eb gjithashtu n\u00eb modelet rajonale t\u00eb motit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ndikimet ekonomike<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Studimet kan\u00eb treguar se El<\/strong> Ni\u00f1o-t<\/strong> e fort\u00eb mund t\u00eb ngadal\u00ebsojn\u00eb rritjen ekonomike t\u00eb vendeve p\u00ebrmes humbjeve nga fatkeq\u00ebsit\u00eb natyrore, nd\u00ebrprerjeve n\u00eb furnizimin me ushqim dhe d\u00ebmtimeve n\u00eb bujq\u00ebsi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Megjithat\u00eb, duhet theksuar se k\u00ebto paraqesin ndikimet tipike t\u00eb El<\/strong> Ni\u00f1o<\/strong>. \u00c7do ngjarje \u00ebsht\u00eb e ndryshme dhe intensiteti apo shp\u00ebrndarja e ndikimeve mund t\u00eb ndryshoj\u00eb nga nj\u00eb rast n\u00eb tjetrin. \/MeteoKosova<\/strong>\/<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

El Ni\u00f1o ka filluar zyrtarisht m\u00eb 11qershor 2026 dhe parashikohet t\u00eb intensifikohet n\u00eb nj\u00eb El Ni\u00f1o shum\u00eb t\u00eb fort\u00eb ose \u201cSuper El Ni\u00f1o\u201d, me ndryshime t\u00eb m\u00ebdha n\u00eb modelet globale t\u00eb motit dhe nj\u00eb klim\u00eb edhe m\u00eb t\u00eb nxeht\u00eb, sipas nj\u00eb raporti t\u00eb ri t\u00eb publikuar nga Administrata Komb\u00ebtare Oqeanike dhe Atmosferike (NOAA). \u201cEl Ni\u00f1o\u201d …<\/p>","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":10256,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"wds_primary_category":24,"footnotes":""},"categories":[24,28],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10275","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ballina","category-bote"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/image00001.png","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10275","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10275"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10275\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10283,"href":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10275\/revisions\/10283"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10256"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10275"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10275"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meteokosova.com\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10275"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}